cyberneticlibrary

Forecast strategic futures with IFTF method

foresight-intelligencepluginsetup L33,035
davepoon/buildwithclaude
What it does

Generate four independent futures (Probable/Plausible/Possible/Preferable)

Best for

Strategic planners and policy analysts who need structured scenario thinking on complex macro questions (AI geopolitics, market dynamics) with both quick Claude answers and rigorous deterministic exploration.

Inputs
  • · question (e.g. 'Will India become the global AI leader?')
  • · stakeholder list (optional, for conditional analysis)
  • · time horizon (implicit: 5-10 years)
Outputs
  • · four futures with descriptions
  • · per-stakeholder conditional outcomes
  • · soft prediction (Claude-native, instant)
  • · hard prediction (12-step deterministic pipeline, Python-computed)
Requires
  • · Claude API (soft predict)
  • · Python runtime (hard predict)
  • · IFTF methodology reference implementation
Preconditions
  • · IFTF framework familiarity (implicit for interpreting outputs)
  • · Python 3.7+ (hard predict mode only)
  • · question must be answerable in 5-10 year horizon
Failure modes
  • · question too abstract — futures become unfalsifiable
  • · stakeholder list incomplete — missing critical perspectives
  • · hard predict 12-step pipeline halts — partial result returned
  • · futures too similar — inadequate divergence
Trust signals
  • · IFTF methodology (established foresight framework)
  • · two prediction modes (instant + rigorous tradeoff)
  • · stakeholder-specific conditional analysis
  • · example questions provided (validates feasibility)