cyberneticlibrary

Run structured pivot-or-persevere decision

ent-pivot-coachskillsetup L11
kalyvask/entrepreneurship-lessons
What it does

Diagnose and guide pivot-or-persevere decision

Best for

When a founder faces a critical go/no-go decision after PMF stall and needs data-driven clarity, not narrative hope.

Inputs
  • · venture workspace with founder-state.yaml, lof_ledger.md, pmf_dashboard.md, experiment logs
Outputs
  • · decision memo with new value hypothesis, thresholds, and success criteria
Preconditions

Founder has logged venture history and metrics; willing to be honest about data

Failure modes
  • · Founder denies the data and pivots anyway (death-pivot)
  • · Multiple pivots with no over-performing slice — sink cost fallacy
  • · Pivot direction misses the real signal in cohort/feature/channel data
Trust signals
  • · Includes failure-mode watch (death-pivot, who-drift, vanity-PMF detection)
  • · Enforces over-performing-slice discovery before pivot direction
  • · Reads venue history to avoid cyclical patterns