cyberneticlibrary

Apply five whys and fishbone diagrams

rca-classical-methodsskillsetup L164
Tibsfox/gsd-skill-creator
What it does

Apply classical RCA techniques (5 Whys, Fishbone, FTA, FMEA) with rigor

Best for

Linear, single-cause shop-floor incidents (5 Whys), or multi-pathway quality incidents (Fishbone), or safety-critical system design review (FTA/FMEA) where classical techniques have proven power.

Inputs
  • · Incident description or observed failure symptom
  • · Contributing factors or potential causes (brainstorm list)
  • · Fault modes or component list (for FTA/FMEA)
  • · Impact metrics (severity, frequency, detectability for RPN)
Outputs
  • · 5 Whys causal chain (if linear single-cause incident)
  • · Fishbone diagram organized by Man/Machine/Method/Material/Measurement/Milieu
  • · Fault Tree (top event, intermediate events, basic events) with minimal cut sets
  • · FMEA table with Risk Priority Numbers (RPN) and ranked mitigation strategies
  • · Doggett's decision matrix selecting appropriate technique per problem type
Requires
  • · Fishbone/cause-mapping software (optional: Lucidchart, Miro, Excalidraw)
  • · FTA solver for cut-set computation (optional: Relyability, OpenFTA)
Preconditions
  • · Incident has concluded (or is well-understood while ongoing)
  • · Root cause is not known to be multi-pathway (or explicitly scope to single chain for 5 Whys)
  • · For FTA: failure modes of components are known upfront
  • · For FMEA: design is stable enough to perform proactive review
  • · Team trained in the technique (Fishbone is more forgiving than FTA)
Failure modes
  • · 5 Whys forced onto multi-pathway incident → misses real causal structure (Card 2017 critique)
  • · Fishbone becomes unwieldy with 50+ factors → loses prioritization
  • · FTA assumes failure modes are exhaustive → misses rare or novel modes
  • · FMEA RPN uses ordinal math (severity × occurrence × detectability) which is statistically invalid (Bowles 2003)
  • · Stopping at 'human error' without investigating system design factors
  • · Using technique beyond its known boundary (e.g., FTA on dynamic systems with feedback loops)
Trust signals
  • · 5 Whys originates from Toyota Production System (Taiichi Ohno, 1988) — foundational to TQM
  • · Fishbone (Kaoru Ishikawa, 1960s) standard in manufacturing and service quality for 50+ years
  • · FTA developed for Minuteman ICBM (Bell Labs, 1960s) — aerospace/nuclear proven
  • · FMEA adopted by automotive (AIAG) and aerospace standards (DO-254, DO-178C)
  • · Card 2017 critique explicitly bounds 5 Whys to linear cases, enabling appropriate use
  • · Doggett 2005 framework provides empirical meta-selection algorithm