Decide under uncertainty
decision-makingskillsetup L1★64
Tibsfox/gsd-skill-creator ↗What it does
Make decisions under uncertainty using frameworks
Best for
Making high-stakes decisions with clear reasoning that can be audited or revisited
Inputs
- · decision options
- · criteria
- · uncertainty factors
- · time constraint
Outputs
- · decision with rationale
- · contingency plan
- · monitoring metrics
Preconditions
- · at least 2 options to choose from
- · can articulate decision criteria
Failure modes
- · Delaying decision indefinitely (analysis paralysis)
- · Changing criteria after deciding
- · Not revisiting reversible decisions
Trust signals
- · Reversible vs irreversible decision distinction
- · Expected value framework
- · Scenario planning
- · Regret minimization
- · Time-box to decide