Run scenario war room analysis

Model cascading multi-variable business scenarios with compound risk

When evaluating strategic decisions with compound downside risk, or prepping crisis scenarios.

• · 3 max scenario variables with probability/timeline
• · business domain impacts

• · severity matrix (base/stress/severe)
• · cascade map
• · early warning signals
• · hedging strategies

• · Python scenario_modeler.py

Clear definition of variables; cross-functional stakeholders available; financial + operational context

• · Insufficient domain experts
• · variables too vague
• · missing cascade linkages

• · 6-step cascade model
• · severity matrix format
• · early warning signals with triggers
• · MIT license